The only wrinkle is a round of showers and a few thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, and even that looks pretty tame.
NWS-Nashville’s key messages back this up:
Warming this weekend with highs mostly upper 70s and lower 80s. Medium to high rain chances Sunday afternoon into early Monday. No hazardous weather through the next 7 days.
Good news: we are no longer outlooked with any severe probabilities for today. We are north of the cold front, which effectively eliminates any concern we had for severe weather. That will all be confined to our south in MS, AL and GA.
So far today, most of the rain have been missing us to our south. I think this will be a common theme throughout this evening but can’t totally rule out a quick shower for some later.
Yesterday we discussed the possibility of an overnight round of showers/storms. This still hold true; however, there’s a low-end chance a storm or storm is strong to severe.
Nice weather will continue thru the end of today. Warm and dry.
Rain chances return sometime midday on Tuesday. Majority of the rain will stay to our N. Perhaps not a total washout.
HRRR model gives an educated guess, far from perfect:
Very nice weather today and Monday. Dry and mild.
Rain chances creep back in starting Tuesday midday and will stick around thru Wednesday night. It won’t rain the entire time; it’ll be on and off with some showers and storms. Thankfully, no severe weather is expected, just some beneficial rain.
Well, that was a busy past two days. Thankfully yesterday afternoon/evening was fairly tame. The same cannot be said for Monday night.
On a positive note, most of us were able to pick up 1.5 – 2″ of rain, which we very much needed.
When it rains, it pours.
Additional severe weather is possible again this afternoon/evening.
The Storm Prediction Center has both of our counties outlooked with the following probabilities, valid within 25 miles of a location:
TL;DR:
Our eyes are on our severe threat for this evening, continuing into the overnight hours.
We are outlooked with the following probabilities from the Storm Predicition Center, all valid for within 25 miles of any given point:
Great weather today. Plenty of sun with temperatures peaking in the low 80s.
During the day on Monday, we’ll also be treated with nice weather. Dry with highs in the mid 80s.
Starting Monday evening, we’ll be dealing with the potential for severe weather.
Mostly dry today. Cannot rule out a stray shower or (non-severe) thunderstorm this afternoon though – that’s something we’ll have to keep an eye on. For those with outdoor plans, proceed optimistically but keep an eye on the radar. When thunder roars, go indoors.
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