The biggest weather story for Davidson and Williamson is how dry it stays — and that summer is finally knocking on the door.
Sunny, high near 80, with barely a breath of wind out of the southeast. A genuinely nice May day. Tonight drops to around 58 under mostly clear skies.
Saturday is picture perfect. Tonight as well albeit with temps in the low 60’s even upper 50’s. Here’s the temp map for 9pm.
Rain moves in Sunday afternoon. By sundown we will be in full wattery mode with some of us getting an occasional downpour. Below is the HRRR for 6pm. Rain should push out by daybreak.
The only wrinkle is a round of showers and a few thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, and even that looks pretty tame.
NWS-Nashville’s key messages back this up:
Warming this weekend with highs mostly upper 70s and lower 80s. Medium to high rain chances Sunday afternoon into early Monday. No hazardous weather through the next 7 days.
Good news: we are no longer outlooked with any severe probabilities for today. We are north of the cold front, which effectively eliminates any concern we had for severe weather. That will all be confined to our south in MS, AL and GA.
So far today, most of the rain have been missing us to our south. I think this will be a common theme throughout this evening but can’t totally rule out a quick shower for some later.
Yesterday we discussed the possibility of an overnight round of showers/storms. This still hold true; however, there’s a low-end chance a storm or storm is strong to severe.
Nice weather will continue thru the end of today. Warm and dry.
Rain chances return sometime midday on Tuesday. Majority of the rain will stay to our N. Perhaps not a total washout.
HRRR model gives an educated guess, far from perfect:
Very nice weather today and Monday. Dry and mild.
Rain chances creep back in starting Tuesday midday and will stick around thru Wednesday night. It won’t rain the entire time; it’ll be on and off with some showers and storms. Thankfully, no severe weather is expected, just some beneficial rain.
Well, that was a busy past two days. Thankfully yesterday afternoon/evening was fairly tame. The same cannot be said for Monday night.
On a positive note, most of us were able to pick up 1.5 – 2″ of rain, which we very much needed.
When it rains, it pours.
Additional severe weather is possible again this afternoon/evening.
The Storm Prediction Center has both of our counties outlooked with the following probabilities, valid within 25 miles of a location:
TL;DR:
Our eyes are on our severe threat for this evening, continuing into the overnight hours.
We are outlooked with the following probabilities from the Storm Predicition Center, all valid for within 25 miles of any given point:
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