We find ourselves in quite the “rinse and repeat” pattern over the next week or so.
Medium (30-50%) Watter (water + lottery) chances exist daily, confined to the afternoon and early evening. Impossible to know exactly who sees a shower/storm and who misses out. That’s just the Wattery.
We are outlooked at a Marginal (1 of 5) risk today across Davidson and Williamson County.
Mostly sunny to start, then storms fire up through the afternoon and evening. High will top out near 92 with a heat index around 98, so hydrate if you’re outside. Rain and storm chances run about 50% through the evening, tapering off overnight with a low near 71.
Temperatures will still be hot today. Although it’s not an Extreme Heat Warning, we do have a Heat Advisory in effect until 8p. Actual air temperatures will be in the mid 90s, with heat index values near 105°. However you are celebrating America’s 250th, be sure to stay cool today.
We have one more day of our Extreme Heat Warning, that expires at 8p today. Although the heat doesn’t just totally disappear after today.
Heat index values will climb to near 110° this afternoon, as actual air temperatures make another run for the triple digits. We did hit 100° yesterday, marking the first time since August 19th, 2025.
In addition to our dangerous heat, we have a threat of severe weather to watch for this afternoon and evening.
The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked us with a 30% chance of damaging straight-line winds and a 5% chance of hail within 25 miles. No tornado concerns. The main thing we’ll be watching for will be the threat of microbursts. These water and wind loaded downdrafts can cause some issues. You can read more on them here: What is a Microburst?
Another day still under our Extreme Heat Warning, which continues thru 8p Friday.
Actual air temperatures will peak in the upper 90s, nearing 100°. Dewpoints will be in the low to mid 70s, causing heat index values to be in the 105-110°+ range.
Our Extreme Heat Warning continues until 8p on Thursday. I could see it getting extended thru Friday.
Today thru Thursday (and probably Friday) will be the hottest days we’ve seen in some time.
Actual air temperatures near 100°, with dewpoints in the low 70s will get heat index values near 110°. Overnight lows will only be in the upper 70s, which will give us very little relief. BTW, if we do hit 100° – it will be the first time since August 19th, 2025.
We have an Extreme Heat Warning in effect from 11 Monday thru 8p Thursday.
Actual air temperatures will be in the upper 90s, pushing 100°. Combine that with dewpoints in the low 70s, heat index values will be in the 105-110°+ range.
NWS-Nashville has us under a Heat Advisory through this evening and an Extreme Heat Warning that runs through Thursday evening, with heat indices climbing well into the 100s for several days in a row. We are not severe outlooked.
A little more uncertainty than usual regarding today’s forecast – which is never fun.
Yesterday, multiple high-res models agreed that we would see multiple waves of storms throughout the day, even starting as early as this morning. This is no longer the case.
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