Our Flood Watch goes into effect at 1p today and continues through 6p Sunday.
Multiple rounds of heavy rain will be possible from today through Sunday, bringing upwards of 3-4″+ of additional rain.
Flood Watch Begins at 1p Today, Multiple Rounds of Heavy Rain This Weekend
Flood Watch Thursday Afternoon thru Sunday Evening
Before we get into the Flood Watch, we have continued Wattery chances today. At the time of writing (11a), showers and storms were already going, mostly confined to Davidson County.
These will continue through the afternoon and early evening. Typical hazards of heavy rain with localized flash flooding possible, lightning and gusty winds,
Copy + Paste Forecast, Wattery Chances + Near 90°
Another day of Wattery chances. This can be applied to everyday this week, ’tis the season.
Scattered showers and storms will be possible starting around midday, continuing thru dinnertime-ish.
No severe weather is expected, but any storm could contain heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds.
Daily Wattery Chances, Not As Hot
We find ourselves in quite the “rinse and repeat” pattern over the next week or so.
Medium (30-50%) Watter (water + lottery) chances exist daily, confined to the afternoon and early evening. Impossible to know exactly who sees a shower/storm and who misses out. That’s just the Wattery.
Storms Today, Then Calmer and Cooler
We are outlooked at a Marginal (1 of 5) risk today across Davidson and Williamson County.
Today and Tonight
Mostly sunny to start, then storms fire up through the afternoon and evening. High will top out near 92 with a heat index around 98, so hydrate if you’re outside. Rain and storm chances run about 50% through the evening, tapering off overnight with a low near 71.
Hot But Mostly Dry for 250
Temperatures will still be hot today. Although it’s not an Extreme Heat Warning, we do have a Heat Advisory in effect until 8p. Actual air temperatures will be in the mid 90s, with heat index values near 105°. However you are celebrating America’s 250th, be sure to stay cool today.
PM Scattered Storms Possible Thru Early Next Week, Extreme Heat Warning Today
We have one more day of our Extreme Heat Warning, that expires at 8p today. Although the heat doesn’t just totally disappear after today.
Heat index values will climb to near 110° this afternoon, as actual air temperatures make another run for the triple digits. We did hit 100° yesterday, marking the first time since August 19th, 2025.
Daily Afternoon Storm (Severe?) Chances, Extreme Heat Warning thru Friday
In addition to our dangerous heat, we have a threat of severe weather to watch for this afternoon and evening.
The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked us with a 30% chance of damaging straight-line winds and a 5% chance of hail within 25 miles. No tornado concerns. The main thing we’ll be watching for will be the threat of microbursts. These water and wind loaded downdrafts can cause some issues. You can read more on them here: What is a Microburst?
Very Hot w/ Wattery Chances Continuing into the 4th
Another day still under our Extreme Heat Warning, which continues thru 8p Friday.
Actual air temperatures will peak in the upper 90s, nearing 100°. Dewpoints will be in the low to mid 70s, causing heat index values to be in the 105-110°+ range.
Dangerous Heat This Week, Wattery Chances Return by Thursday
Our Extreme Heat Warning continues until 8p on Thursday. I could see it getting extended thru Friday.
Today thru Thursday (and probably Friday) will be the hottest days we’ve seen in some time.
Actual air temperatures near 100°, with dewpoints in the low 70s will get heat index values near 110°. Overnight lows will only be in the upper 70s, which will give us very little relief. BTW, if we do hit 100° – it will be the first time since August 19th, 2025.
You must be logged in to post a comment.